Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.027550 0.030157 0.032741 0.035487 0.038319 0.041149 0.044186
2025-01-19 0.021244 0.025351 0.029545 0.034122 0.038952 0.043876 0.049255
2025-01-26 0.018396 0.023561 0.028963 0.034971 0.041410 0.048060 0.055406
2025-02-02 0.015728 0.021612 0.027908 0.035030 0.042766 0.050840 0.059836
2025-02-09 0.012957 0.019279 0.026216 0.034198 0.042983 0.052242 0.062641
2025-02-16 0.011296 0.018046 0.025610 0.034439 0.044252 0.054672 0.066441
2025-02-23 0.009670 0.016713 0.024788 0.034344 0.045071 0.056540 0.069563
2025-03-02 0.008133 0.015360 0.023850 0.034042 0.045591 0.058022 0.072209
2025-03-09 0.006869 0.014237 0.023108 0.033902 0.046239 0.059596 0.074907
2025-03-16 0.005451 0.012788 0.021898 0.033159 0.046158 0.060324 0.076637
2025-03-23 0.004591 0.012002 0.021442 0.033254 0.046989 0.062028 0.079406
2025-03-30 0.003662 0.011020 0.020690 0.032961 0.047344 0.063175 0.081535
2025-04-06 0.002581 0.009767 0.019660 0.032454 0.047611 0.064402 0.083964
2025-04-13 0.001377 0.008055 0.017968 0.031135 0.046954 0.064629 0.085339
2025-04-20 0.001001 0.007697 0.018041 0.031953 0.048773 0.067633 0.089787
2025-04-27 0.000530 0.006952 0.017530 0.032010 0.049668 0.069566 0.093015
2025-05-04 0.000093 0.005817 0.016376 0.031208 0.049507 0.070265 0.094833
2025-05-11 NaN 0.005292 0.016061 0.031440 0.050553 0.072321 0.098151
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004654 0.015518 0.031349 0.051188 0.073885 0.100895
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003976 0.014848 0.031057 0.051557 0.075123 0.103252
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003421 0.014318 0.030922 0.052094 0.076538 0.105791
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002684 0.013384 0.030205 0.051896 0.077079 0.107321
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002317 0.013060 0.030297 0.052675 0.078744 0.110113